S&P500 – Are we there yet?


SPX500:

Ultra Short Term – as in 4h chart – Long > 2311 Short < 2311

Short Term – as in daily chart – Long > 2290 Short < 2290 SL High +1

Medium Term – as in weekly chart – Long > 2200

Long Term – as in monthly chart – Long > 2080

 

The trend is still up as the S&P500 sets Higher Highs and Higher Lows. For the short term, keep an eye on the 2311 and 2290 as I expect a max upside of 2350 and a max downside of 2200 for the next couple of weeks.So in my view, the risk return is in favor of the bears: 5% risk, vs 2% upside, 2200 vs 2350.

Long Term (months) it’s a buy buy buy.

Why?

Flight into Private Assets (equities) out of Public Assets (sovereign bonds)

Remember, the real bubble isn’t stocks, it’s the sovereign bond market and the artificial low interest rates!

In my view, fundamental analysis (P/E, P/CF, P/BV, EBITDA/share etc) does not work for now, as it’s all about relative value and capital preservation for the next few years. Therefore, a money outflow of bonds,  and an inflow into private assets, such as listed stocks, growth stocks no, value yes.

Of course, I could be wrong, so feel free to share your view 🙂


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LATEST VIDEOS

S&P500 – 4h chart – iSHS Target 2300 (check!)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0VrG-lX5spo

S&P500 Next Cycle Window JAN 23-29 explained

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55tFxYD1cXQ

Market Update – S&P500, Nasdaq and Apple

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Bi99JxWs7s

How to protect yourself against rising interest rates? Part 1

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6BuaP9KzB7w

Interest Rates on the Rise – Part 2

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ht45VCUUtcs

Apple Part 3 – Bearish Daily Candle Stick Pattern

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFSVSU6LMM8

Apple Part 2  – Elliott Wave, Cyclical Analysis and RSI

https://www.youtube.com/edit?video_id=eZtUcG4nDks

Apple – Part 1 – Pay attention to Key Area 120-135

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OpBiPlBpUJc

Bitcoin 4h chart update – Break above $910, retest $1000 next?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OywA30-xDfA

Intraday Update Nasdaq vs DOW

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yt6VKzqFqgY

Divergence Nasdaq vs DOW

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yI6MOpRHyfk

Is the market about to top out and a 5% move to the downside should be expected?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tMOvSjT4IyM

Bitcoin – Currency of the future or the next Ponzi scheme?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i77mjw1_n7U

CandleStick Weekly Chart – Hanging Man https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TKzW5yMdsbY

Cyclical Model – JAN 15-25 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xT9bK4C9cKQ

Bullish and Bearish Divergence RSIhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H1mhwx3SZII&t=145s

Elliott Wave E uphttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QFPfaFuE0Hs&t=100s

Or visit my webpage for real life Swing Trades https://www.TripsTrading.com

Feel free to ask questions if you have any!