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The Dow Theory?

  Hi all, In this post, I would like to share one of the oldest swing trading theories out there, the Dow Theory, and what it currently tells us. The Dow Theory was introduced gradually over the first three decades of the 20th century in editorials in The Wall Street Journal. If you

Latest Video Update S&P500, VIX, DAX, Crude Oil, Apple, Facebook, Bitcoin and the Real Bubble

In this Video update, I will discuss and show my current view on the US and EU stock markets, Commodities and Cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin and Ethereum) and why I think bears could expect a profitable summer but bulls will eventually survive (flight to private assets).

Choose on of the options below to unlock my latest video.

S&P500 – Next Cycle Time Windows

Hi all, I just updated my cyclical  model  for April and May 2017 and the outcomes are published on this page - Cycle Dates. Seems that after APR 3-7, APR 27, MAY 3 and MAY 8-14 and mid June are likely the Time Windows in which a change in Trend/start new

Market Update – S&P500 vs VIX, DAX and Oil

  Hi all, Will the S&P500 form a Lower Low < 2320 and match the rounding top pattern? Is VIX ready to drop and pop again? As mentioned before, I will upload my analysis that I share on my eToro feed here on this page. Click on the link for the latest updates of

Crude Oil – Rising Wedge 15m

Hi all, I hope you had a nice and profitable trading week. In this post I will discuss my current thesis on Crude Oil and what price levels are relevant to determine the next move. Enjoy your weekend!   Subscribe and stay informed! Crude Oil Copy My Trades - If you want to follow or copy my Trades,

The week ahead – 4 Stocks to Buy and 4 to Sell

Hi all, In this update I would like to reflect on some of my trades in the PatternTrader11 account from last week and show you guys my watchlist for this week: what stocks to buy or sell? Secondly, I will share my trades on the general markets that I execute in my second

Cryptocurrencies – BTC and ETH Crash – Buying Opportunity?

$ETHEREUM  36  $BTC $987  keep crashing down. Check out my positions here. The Chart showed bearish divergence in the RSI, Lower Highs and Lower Lows and of course, SELL signals in the SuperTrend indicator. Secondly, maybe even more important, The Euphoria was too much, new funds on cryptocurrencies pop up by the

S&P500 vs VIX – Rounding Tops and Bottoms

Hi all, Today I would like to follow up on this analysis, where I explain the rounding top pattern of the S&P500 and the rounding bottom of the VIX. Furthermore, I made several trades yesterday (Tesla long after new BUY signal SuperTrend, Shake Shack long after 3 hammers, Apple and FB (rising

The Real Bubble – Interest Rates

The real bubble in my view, record low interest rates. Once the sovereign bond market collapses, bonds will see an outflow and equities an inflow. That's the reason why I expect Higher Highs for stocks for the next couple of years, flight out of public assets and into private assets. I'm

Arbitrage Strategy – Crude Oil vs RD Shell

An arbitrage idea that I would like to share for feedback. My idea: If you short $OIL, for example $100, no leverage, then you will receive annual fees of 20% at eToro... If you go long $RDS.B , also $100, then you will receive annual dividends of at least 5% (assuming Shell

Tech, Banks, Oil and Gold

Several stocks and trades that I want to discuss briefly in today's update: Snapchat - Check out this pattern of recent IPO's!  I enjoined most of the ride down, sold the second and third third day of trading, closed them yesterday, 20% return. Now a small long position, +6%, stop loss to break

Facebook – Rising Wedge

  A Rising Wedge for Facebook, bearish topping pattern. Intraday selling pressure - Daily Chart close to a break of support/trendline READ MORE:  Snapchat - Fundamental and Technical Sell DAX Cup and Handle Pattern The Trend is our Friend Dashboard: Stocks USA and EU, Commodities, Bitcoin and Interest Rates S&P500 vs VIX - something doesn't add up S&P500

Snapchat – Fundamental & Technical: Sell

  Today, I would like to take a look at Snapchat from a Fundamental and Technical point of view.   Let's start with some  FUNDAMENTALS from the IPO of Snapchat   Conclusion FUNDAMENTALS: Seems like Snapchat is a bit expensive....especially since it does not make a profit, growth seems to be decreasing, and competitors are

DAX – Cup and Handle Pattern

The DAX is forming a Cup and Handle Pattern (Cup is close to finishing, Handle next). A Cup and Handle Pattern is a Bullish Continuation Pattern. Currently, my view is that the Cup is close to finishing and we should expect the Handle (test of 11.300 - 10.700) to be formed

The Cycles of Time: Global Warming, Economy and War

Are you aware of the three major Cycles of Time and our current position? The following documentary shows 3 Cycles of Time that have a direct impact on our lives and investment decisions: Global Warming and the next Ice Age to come. CO2 will be reduced significantly, same as every cycle

Dashboard USA – JP Morgan Bearish Engulfing

Apple tested the green line but failed to close above, now the bears need to see a follow up to the downside to trigger a new sell < 136. Amazon formed a Lower High, while most other stocks formed Higher Highs...early warning! Tesla still on a Sell < 267. The S&P500, DJI, and

What do FB, TWTR and BABA have in common? SNAP next?

First thing these companies have in common is that they do not produce any real products, it's all about advertising and big data. Secondly, they show the same pattern of price after IPO (initial public offering). The pattern that I'm referring to is the following: Facebook drops after the IPO, forms

What about The Real Bubble?

They better start changing the textbooks we use at my University, as up to now, interest rates were by definition a positive number. That has changed early 2015. It was early 2015, when the 2 year German Bonds broke the 0% to the downside and rates became negative for the first

Dashboard USA – Weekend Update

Dashboard USA - 7 out of 8 assets is on a LONG signal, bears need 2% downside to trigger new SHORT signals, clearly not there yet so any short position is speculative for now.. It wouldn't surprise me to see the S&P500 2388 by end of February, early stop out


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Bitcoin – New All Time Highs!

Will Bitcoin reach the $1380 by March 11? I think it will be one of the currencies of the future, and so far, the majority of visitors think the same. Usually the crowd is wrong :)     Bitcoin 4h chart Clearly in an uptrend for now, looks like it's set to test $1400 area