S&P500 vs VIX – Bearish vs Bullish Divergence

      S&P500 vs VIX The S&P500 is trending near long term resistance line (blue) @ 2440, forming Higher Highs, while the 14 day RSI is not able to keep up the same pace, forming Lower Highs so far. This is called Bearish Divergence and often shows an overshoot in price, that will

S&P500 – Cycle Dates June 2017

    - THE RELEVANCE OF 7(0)  Based on my own research, it seems that the S&P500 is trending based on an internal cycle of 7(0) calendar days. My research shows that over the past 17 years, the 7, 21, 35, 70, 140 and 280 day cycle are more likely to signal a change in

Bitcoin – Tulip Mania Part 2

  May 19, I dedicated an article to Cryptocurrencies (read here) and that in my view, it was going 2 fast 2 furious, showing much resemblance with the price pattern of tulips during the 17th century. In the meantime, Bitcoin (and all other cryptocurrencies) reached Higher Highs and Bitcoin touched $2800,

The Dow Theory – Part 2

  Start your own Fund and earn money managing a Portfolio!  This post is a follow up on the post I wrote about the Dow Theory. If you haven't read that one yet, then I advice you to read that first (here) before you continue this story.  As I mentioned in that post: "The Sell

DAX – Flag Pattern

    While the US markets form Higher Highs and record closes, the European markets do not follow (yet). For example, the DAX is forming Lower Highs and Lower Lows since the most recent 70 day cycle (May 8, click here).  So investors (or should I say, the Plunge Protection Teams) are pulling

Bitcoin and Ethereum – Tulip Mania?

  There's a more recent update on Cryptocurrencies available, click here for Bitcoin - Tulip Mania Part 2.  - In this post I would like to share my view on two Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ethereum. The last time I shared my view on Bitcoin and Ethereum, mid March, both currencies crashed and I

Oil – Is $41 in the cards for June?

  The last time I shared my view on Oil, I explained why I sold the $49-$52 area for a Target of $44-$45, which was reached a lot quicker than I expected though. Unlike stocks, where it's taking an eternity to form a short term High in the S&P500 and Dow Jones

Nasdaq100 – Monthly Trendline @ 5700

      The Nasdaq100 reached the long term Monthly Trend Line @5700 area which should act as strong resistance. Based on my belief of a collapse of the Government Bond market (interest rates up, sell bonds), I think this resistance is only here to be broken to the upside as the flight to

The last time this happened, the VIX surged 40%

Hi all,

In this post I would like to share my current view on the markets and in particular the S&P500 and VIX.

For the S&P500, there’s an important cycle time window coming up, that starts May 8 and could signal a High to be formed this week. That matches the pattern that I see in VIX (the rounding bottom) and if that pattern repeats again, we could be in for a VIX of at least 14 and maybe even 17/18 over the next couple of weeks.

Feel free to ask questions if you have any.

Enjoy your weekend!

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The Dow Theory?

  Hi all, In this post, I would like to share one of the oldest swing trading theories out there, the Dow Theory, and what it currently tells us. The Dow Theory was introduced gradually over the first three decades of the 20th century in editorials in The Wall Street Journal. If you

Latest Video Update S&P500, VIX, DAX, Crude Oil, Apple, Facebook, Bitcoin and the Real Bubble

In this Video update, I will discuss and show my current view on the US and EU stock markets, Commodities and Cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin and Ethereum) and why I think bears could expect a profitable summer but bulls will eventually survive (flight to private assets).

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Market Update – S&P500 vs VIX, DAX and Oil

  Hi all, Will the S&P500 form a Lower Low < 2320 and match the rounding top pattern? Is VIX ready to drop and pop again? As mentioned before, I will upload my analysis that I share on my eToro feed here on this page. Click on the link for the latest updates of

Crude Oil – Rising Wedge 15m

Hi all, I hope you had a nice and profitable trading week. In this post I will discuss my current thesis on Crude Oil and what price levels are relevant to determine the next move. Enjoy your weekend!   Subscribe and stay informed! Crude Oil Copy My Trades - If you want to follow or copy my Trades,

The week ahead – 4 Stocks to Buy and 4 to Sell

Hi all, In this update I would like to reflect on some of my trades in the PatternTrader11 account from last week and show you guys my watchlist for this week: what stocks to buy or sell? Secondly, I will share my trades on the general markets that I execute in my second

S&P500 vs VIX – Rounding Tops and Bottoms

Hi all, Today I would like to follow up on this analysis, where I explain the rounding top pattern of the S&P500 and the rounding bottom of the VIX. Furthermore, I made several trades yesterday (Tesla long after new BUY signal SuperTrend, Shake Shack long after 3 hammers, Apple and FB (rising

The Real Bubble – Interest Rates

The real bubble in my view, record low interest rates. Once the sovereign bond market collapses, bonds will see an outflow and equities an inflow. That's the reason why I expect Higher Highs for stocks for the next couple of years, flight out of public assets and into private assets. I'm

Tech, Banks, Oil and Gold

Several stocks and trades that I want to discuss briefly in today's update: Snapchat - Check out this pattern of recent IPO's!  I enjoined most of the ride down, sold the second and third third day of trading, closed them yesterday, 20% return. Now a small long position, +6%, stop loss to break